The Spring 2021 Economic Forecast projects that the EU economy will expand by 4.2% in 2021 and by 4.4% in 2022. The euro area economy is forecast to grow by 4.3% this year and 4.4% next year. This represents a significant upgrade of the growth outlook compared to the Winter 2021 Economic Forecast which the Commission presented in February. Growth rates will continue to vary across the EU, but all Member States should see their economies return to pre-crisis...

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Blog post by Fabio Panetta, Member of the Executive Board of the ECB | The COVID-19 pandemic has caused the largest decrease in global economic activity on record. But the drop in carbon dioxide emissions has been only temporary. Although global CO2 emissions fell by 6.4% overall in 2020, they had already begun to increase in the second half of the year and have now returned to pre-crisis levels. The fact that last year’s extraordinary circumstances still did not bring global emissions into...

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Working group recommendations should help EURIBOR users comply with EU Benchmarks Regulation fallback obligations Key milestone reached with publication of recommendations as working group enters new phase and secretariat passes from ECB to ESMA The private sector working group on euro risk-free rates has today published its recommendations addressing events that would trigger fallbacks in EURIBOR-related contracts, as well as €STR-based EURIBOR fallback rates (rates that could be used if a fallback is triggered). While there is currently no plan...

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Amendments to give effect to the leverage ratio becoming a binding Pillar 1 own-funds requirement under the Capital Requirements Regulation (CRR) Change will apply as of 28 June 2021 On May 7, the European Central Bank (ECB) has today published amendments to its monetary policy implementation Guideline to give effect to the leverage ratio becoming a binding Pillar 1 own-funds requirement. The amended guideline implements a decision taken by the Governing Council on 6 May 2021. The decision is linked...

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