[Recent relevant dates & important miles stone coming up]
Recap: What happened so far:
European Council guidelines and conclusions
The Future Relationship between The United Kingdom And The European Union
Sep 18 General Affairs Council
European Affairs Ministers will discuss Art.50, details on final withdrawal Issues and possibly the EU position on future relations.
Barnier Press Statement here
Sep 20 Informal European Council
Salzburg, informal meeting of leaders added to set out the EU’s negotiation stance on future relations. In effect responding to
Theresa May’s Chequers proposal.
Sep 30 Conservative Party Conference
Sunday to Monday. MPs, party members and Ministers meet in Birmingham with Brexiteer/Remainer tensions in focus.
Oct 3 Theresa May Speech
Annual policy speech, Brexit likely focus with proximity to EU’s policy response and internal party dynamics.
Oct 16 General Affairs Council
European Affairs Ministers will discuss Art.50, setting tone for subsequent October Council.
Oct 18 European Council
Originally billed as the key summit, however this has now been moved to November. By this stage, it is expected the vast majority
of information from both sides will be available.
Nov 12 General Affairs Council
European Affairs Ministers will discuss Art.50, setting tone for subsequent November Council.
Mid Nov Informal European Council
Expected w/c Nov 12, now set as the event where both the Withdrawal Agreement (or so-called ‘divorce bill’) and Future Relationship Framework are agreed (the latter may be left largely undefined, leaving the most intractable problems to be discussed and negotiated once the UK is safely tin transition). Parliament has thus far only secured the right to have a vote on the Withdrawal Agreement, which will primarily confirm the amount of the UK’s exit payment, the rights of EU citizens in the UK (and vice versa), and the details of the Irish border backstop agreement. The Future Relationship covers all the medium to long term arrangements that will apply after the transition period (especially covering the four freedoms / Single Market, and the Customs Union.
Nov Budget Votes
Potential for forecast on impacts of the future relationship, as well as possible rebellions. Late Nov Expected Parliamentary Votes Both UK and European Parliaments to vote in different capacities on a deal. If the UK Parliament rejects the deal, the Government has 21 days under the Withdrawal Act to make a statement on their course of action.
Dec 11 General Affairs Council
European Affairs Ministers will discuss Art.50, setting tone for subsequent December Council.
Dec 13 European Council
The last meeting of leaders where an emergency deal could be fleshed out, leaving only three months for parliamentary processes.
Jan 21 Parliament Brexit Vote Deadline
Withdrawal Act stipulates that if there is no agreement in principle, within 5 days of January 21, Parliament will get a vote on a motion and the Government sets out how they see next steps. If the Commons disagrees with the Government, the terms of the “meaningful vote” Parliament secured on the Withdrawal Deal earlier this year means they can instruct the prime minister to return to Brussels to seek further concessions, which may or may not be forthcoming. The Deal cannot be agreed by the UK Government without the support of Parliament.
Mar 29 Brexit Date
Official Brexit date or start of the transitional period.
Dec 2020 End of Transition. Currently the stated end of the transitional period coinciding with the end of the EU’s multi-year
budgetary framework period.
“Preparing for the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union on 30 March 2019” (including factsheet: “Seven things business in the EU27 need to know to prepare for Brexit”)