02
Dec
The USD rose strongly in November after the unexpected Trump victory, despite most commentators and pre-election price action suggesting a Trump victory would be negative for the USD. In practice, expectations of looser fiscal policy have “trumped” concerns about the potential negative impact of protectionist policies or other more general worries about Trump’s suitability.
The Fed is now fully expected to raise rates in December, and the focus has shifted towards European political risk and the Italian referendum on December...