Authors: Erik Smithweiss and Sarah Raymond The Trump Administration issued Presidential Proclamations on February 10, 2025, under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962, making major changes to U.S. tariff policy on steel and aluminum imports. Effective March 12, 2025, all steel and aluminum imports covered by the prior Section 232 actions — regardless of origin — will be subject to an additional 25% tariff. Countries that once benefitted from alternative tariff agreements — Australia, Canada, Mexico, South Korea,...

By Ian Hunter “Money was never a big motivation for me, except as a way to keep score. The real excitement is playing the game.” - Donald Trump, The Art of the Deal President Trump has never seen trade policy as just economics – it’s a high-stakes game, and winning is everything. Throughout his career, he has framed trade deficits as evidence of American weakness, blaming past administrations for allowing U.S. manufacturing to decline while foreign goods flood the market.  With Washington...

The Red Sea ceasefire may not be exactly what it appears. It seems the Houthis have turned to what feels like maritime extortion. They’re now offering a “safe passage fee” for ships using a negotiation system that includes a customer service email. And presumably, if the fee isn’t paid, further demands for payment are made. Even with the ceasefire in place, insurance premiums remain high, and carriers continue rerouting vessels to avoid the region as security concerns persist. The promise...

EU to tighten controls on imports from sites such as Shein and Temu  The European Commission is taking a stand against low-value imports offered by non-EU online retailers and facilitated by marketplaces like Shein and Temu, which host non-EU traders. This is part of the Communication on E-Commerce, ‘A comprehensive EU Toolbox for Safe and Sustainable E-commerce’ proposed on Wednesday, 5 February. A total of around 4.6 billion low-value consignments (goods not exceeding the value of €150) entered the EU market last...

Important Notice: There have been significant trade policy developments regarding tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China today. Mexico: The planned 25% tariff on imports has been delayed for a month after an agreement between President Trump and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum. As part of the deal, Mexico will deploy 10,000 members of its national guard to the border to combat drug trafficking. Canada: A similar agreement was reached with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau during an afternoon meeting, suspending new...

Months of talk about tariffs are about to become reality. This weekend, President Trump made official his plan to implement new tariffs this Tuesday. Canada and Mexico face tariffs of up to 25%, with China facing levies of an additional 10%. All three countries have voiced their opposition and plans for retaliatory measures. The impact on trade among the three N. American countries is yet to be seen, with the US having had free-trade agreements in place for decades. Trump...

The White House confirmed that President Trump will impose new tariffs starting Saturday, February 1. The tariffs include a 25% duty on certain imports from Canada and Mexico and a 10% tariff on specific Chinese goods. The tariffs could lead to higher prices for U.S. consumers and businesses on products such as electronics, toys, shoes, produce, lumber, and cars. Companies importing these goods must decide whether to absorb the costs, reducing profits, or pass them on to consumers. Mexico and Canada have...

Overview: The US dollar recorded lows for the month against many of the major currencies yesterday but has come back bid today. We had anticipated some consolidation ahead of the conclusion of the FOMC meeting tomorrow, and the dollar's downside momentum faded. Yet, today’s gains have been fueled by new tariff threats. In particular, Bessent, the new Treasury Secretary, said to be a moderate, reportedly was advocated increasing a universal tariff by 2.5% a month until reaching the levels President...