13
Mar
Simulations that incorporate machine learning-based predictions of conflict suggest large payoffs from preventive policies, including efforts to promote macroeconomic stability and growth
Blog post by Franck Bousquet, Paul M. Bisca, Christopher Rauh, Benjamin Seimon | Macroeconomic policy can play a key role in preventing armed conflict, in turn saving lives and avoiding injuries, forced displacement and migration, and vast damage to the economy.
That’s according to new IMF research, based on policy simulations incorporating machine learning-based predictions of conflict. The paper finds that every $1...